About Hammerhead Intelligence

Prediction markets are the fastest information aggregation mechanism in finance. When something geopolitically significant is about to happen, the money often moves before the headlines.

Hammerhead Intelligence tracks every geopolitical contract on Kalshi and Polymarket — prices, volume, whale trades, term structures — and translates that data into actionable intelligence briefs.

What we publish

Daily Briefs land in your inbox every weekday at 6:15 AM EST. They cover the biggest movers overnight, notable whale positioning, accumulation patterns, and the geopolitical context that explains why markets are priced the way they are.

Midday Signals fire when something significant moves during the trading day — a 3%+ price swing, unusual whale activity, or a cluster of trades that suggests informed positioning.

Weekend Deep Dives publish every Saturday morning with long-form analysis on the week's dominant contract complex. Term structure analysis, cross-contract correlations, whale forensics, and a directional Hammerhead view.

What we track

We focus exclusively on geopolitics, defense, economics, and international affairs. Iran strike odds, tariff escalation timelines, Fed policy pricing, election markets, sanctions probability, regime change contracts — anything where prediction market flow intersects with the real world.

We don't cover sports, entertainment, crypto speculation, or weather markets.

The Hammerhead view

We're not neutral observers. Every deep dive includes a directional take — where we think the market is right, where it's wrong, and what would change the thesis. We flag our confidence level and our track record honestly.

Contact

Questions, tips, or contract requests? hello@hammerheadintelligence.com